#17
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Re: Week 10 Rank\'em
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[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Don't worry, Kansas won't be winning out. Just go ahead and assume they have one loss even if it comes in the title game. @Oklahoma St. - They beat Texas, they could beat KU. Missouri - Has a good shot at beating KU. Title game... [/ QUOTE ] Uh... no they didn't. In any case, I give Kansas about a 10% chance of going undefeated. [/ QUOTE ] 10% is pretty close, probably a tad low. 70% to beat OSU 100% to beat ISU 50% to beat MU That's 35% to be undefeated going into the game against OU. I would think at that point they're better than 28% against OU on a neutral field. But 10% is pretty close. [/ QUOTE ] 100% to beat ISU? The team that just beat KSU and almost beat Oklahoma? 90% is more likely. You will be about 17 point favorites in that game according to Sagarin. You are only 5 point favorites @ Okie State- probably closer to 60 or 65% there. I haven't seen the money lines, so check there. 50% to beat MU is probably about right. That would mean you need 37% or better to beat Oklahoma to reach 10%. I think its pretty close to 8-10%. |
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