A noob Q part 2

[ALReturnsLOL]

ok please ignore that this was played poorly, [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

Hero ($102.93)
SB ($129.66)
BB ($186.81)
UTG ($12.50)
MP ($49.25)
CO ($92.95)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls $1, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $5</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $15</font>, UTG folds, Hero calls $10.

Flop: ($31.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $22</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $53</font>, BB calls $149.81 (All-In), Hero folds.

Final Pot: $256.31

ok I have him cont betting with 66 of the hands he raised pf, when I raise I have him folding out 32 of those hands

so this is the math problem I set up


48% of the time we win +51 when he folds 52% of the time we lose 53, netting an overall loss, correct?