Largest Lead Prop Question

[BRDSR]

The same stats for the Suns:

Average difference between final score point differential and largest lead of the game is 6.95.

In games decided by less than 10 points, the average difference between the final score point differential and largest lead of the game is 8.92. 5 of 39 (12.8%) had a largest lead of greater than 19.

In games decided by between 8 and 11 points, the average difference final score point differential and the largest lead is 7.76. 4 of 17 (23.5%) contained a largest lead of 20 or more.

I like the data. I think the percentage of times that the largest lead exceeds 20 is most accurately calculated using games decided by 8-11 points, and if that's true, even allowing for some error, it should only happen 1 out 4 times that the Lakers and Suns play.

I'm not gonna risk 5 units, that was slightly sarcastic. But I am gonna put 2.5 on the under for this prop bet. Wish me luck!