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Old 10-27-2007, 04:02 PM
murphstahoe murphstahoe is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 78
Default 16-0 Prop

WSEX has the NO at -354 for any team going 16-0

I went ahead and bet the no, and I might ARB back. Indy and NE play each other in week 10, with the winner having 7 games remaining. I can then parlay that team to win (ML) 7 weeks in a row. The question is - would you think that such a parlay comes in at greater than +355? I didn't bother with the math, I think the bet is +EV no matter what, regardless of this arb, I could even get lucky and one of them loses this week, adding a tight ML for an 8th week into the parlay.

In practice, I'll probably just let it ride.
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