#13
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Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&
[ QUOTE ]
I'm not sure if there is a name for this, but does anyone ever bet both sides of a game, ML vs. spread, with the risk of losing both? For example if you could have simultaneously gotten Boise -2.5 -105 and Fresno +130? I'm nearly certain this would be +EV. Just curious if anyone had this in their scalping reportoire. [/ QUOTE ] If anyone cares, I calculated the break even point on this as 4.31% (Boise winning by exactly 1 or 2 4.31% of the time.) Looking at two of Ganchrow's tables on SBR gives two different answers for the chance of it happening: 3.09% and 4.25%, so either way it would be +EV, just probably not worth it if you trust the 2nd number. (The first comes from an old post of his and the 2nd from his 1/2 pt calculator.) |
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