Statistics Question (about invading Iraq)

[jasonfish11]

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You forget about the probability that they would actually use them,

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Hense the reason I said "that Iraq has WMDs AND plans to use them on the US (or some other place)."

I was disregarding all info about them having them and not planning on using them in this calculation.

"Im not scared of the person that wants 10 nukes. Im scared of the person who only wants 1."