100NL: Numerous small draws vs. loose player.

[Sean Fraley]

The only hand I've of note that has happened previously at this table is posted here. Villain is the button in that hand.

Villain is 78/31/(1/1.3/oo) as of this hand. I've got the button and have decided to 3-bet him light here. My 3-bet represents something strong and this board might be kind of scary for villain which might give me some good fold equity, on the other hand villain has seen showdown 40% of the time. Do I have enough fold equity to make shoving my two overs+gutshot+backdoor NFD profitable, or do I need to bail?

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 4 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

SB: $140
BB: $108.35
UTG: $273.10
Hero (BTN): $100

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $3</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $15</font>, 2 folds, UTG calls $12

Flop: ($31.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $20</font>, <font color="blue">Hero ???</font>