Big draw on the bubble - play it strong or play it safe?

[ThePhoenix78]

Small stakes SnG...I'm on the bubble. As you can see, pretty good flop for me, but not a made hand yet. Could have up to 18 outs, but an estimate of 13-15 seems more reasonable to me. How would you play this? Play it safe on the bubble and check, hoping for a free card? Check-raise if I check and my opponent bets? Just check-call and try to hit on the turn? Bet out on the semi-bluff? If you bet out and get pushed all-in, do you call?

I can see a wide variety of moves all being plausible here and others I've talked to disagree about the best way to play this. What do you think? Oh, my opponent seems pretty loose and has put a lot of chips on the line in questionable situations. And he's the big stack, so might be hard to bluff. Anyways, what do you think? HH is below...

Full Tilt Poker Game #3921768217: $5 + $0.50 Sit & Go (29839733), Table 1 - 100/200 - No Limit Hold'em - 10:40:41 ET - 2007/10/21
Seat 4: ThePhoenix78 (1,995)
Seat 6: rbarros (1,495)
Seat 8: eddiepaul2424 (7,005)
Seat 9: kbskom (3,005)
kbskom posts the small blind of 100
ThePhoenix78 posts the big blind of 200
The button is in seat #8
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to ThePhoenix78 [Td 3d]
rbarros folds
eddiepaul2424 calls 200
kbskom folds
ThePhoenix78 has 15 seconds left to act
ThePhoenix78 checks
*** FLOP *** [6d 4c 2d]
ThePhoenix78 has 15 seconds left to act
ThePhoenix78 ???