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Old 10-19-2007, 04:12 AM
Heisenb3rg Heisenb3rg is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 1,733
Default 5/10 - QTo - Top pair paired on drawy board... turn call?

I could probabily do the math myself... But im curious on peoples thoughts on calling turns with gutshots + pair draws in medium-small pots.

villain is not known very well, seems kind of fishy, not very very agro but not def not passive. Like 50/20/1.5 or something.

If its on the turn, the ranges are wide and I have one overcard + gutshot, I normally dont even do any pot odds calculations... mostly just instacall or possibly raise if the sitatuion is right.

Could this be a possible leak?

Poker Stars
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
6 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
3 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, SB folds, BB calls.

Flop: 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (4.4SB, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">BB raises</font>, Hero calls.

Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4.2BB, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">BB bets</font>, Hero calls.

River: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6.2BB, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">BB bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, BB calls.

Results:
Final pot: 10.2BB

I figure this is HIGHLY dependent on how much he is semi bluffing the flop.
The 9 can be a good card or bad card.

Bad: when he has 9x, my 6 pair outs are no good.

Good: the 9 decreases the probability he has a 9 by like 1/3 and no other semibluffing hands improved.
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