#7
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Re: AA river decision
[ QUOTE ]
I call river as played versus this villain, though it's pretty close given his passivity. [/ QUOTE ] 1.7 on 70 vpip is extremely aggressive; granted it's only 40 hands but this guy is either betting anything anywhere or folding a lot. On the end I think this guy is either bluffing an inferior split/pocket pair using the rr flush or has 2x clubs or Th8h. I normally play limit but you need to be right here 1/3 and in an essentially readless situation the way the board has drawn up, I think you need better odds to make the call. He makes a teensy-tiny flop donk, probably bets turn thinking you'll give up but he calls a big raise. Because he didn't reraise turn he doesn't have a J; if he doesn't have a J then he must have donked flop with an inferior split/pocket pair or heart draw. So on the turn he either picked up a 4-fl or str draw + 4-fl. If he's been b-f a lot I pitch this. |
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