3 Barrels vs Reg 200NL

[viper930]

Villain is sarfu (22/18/3) over a good sample. I've played with him a decent amount lately and havent seen him make any hugely stationy calls. WTSD is 23%. Decided to float the flop as this didnt hit that much of his opening range but could have nailed some of my flatting hands. His c/c on the turn and tiny blocker on the river screams a mediocre/weak hand (AT at best, imo). Likey?

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (CO): $244.20
BTN: $227.90
SB: $204
BB: $441.10
UTG: $293.90
MP: $202.75

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG folds, <font color="red">MP raises to $7</font>, Hero calls $7, 3 folds

Flop: ($17) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">MP bets $12</font>, Hero calls $12

Turn: ($41) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $31</font>, MP calls $31

River: ($103) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">MP bets $10</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $194.20 and is All-In</font>