really awkward spot 700 BB's oop

[todd1007]

his hand really looks like AK AQ, but i dont think we can rule out Kxdd. the one thing about this hand that makes reading him so hard is that is we assume that his has novice bet sizing skills, and so his preflop raise does not give us a lot of information about his hand. he verywell could have AA 99 77. i still think that AK AQ is by far the most reliable read.


assuming he has AK, we are about 35 65 to his hand one the turn, so we are getting even odds to flat call on the turn.

side note: as strong as we flopped, we could have played this hand for stacks on the flop, but since we have kept the pot small, i think the best line is to just call the turn. if he is as fishy as you describe, he never lays down a big ace here.

if we miss the river, we c/f. if we hit one of our 16 outs on the river, we make a 2/3 pot size bet and let him pay us off. if we hit, and he goes over the top.....hmmm, that is a player dependant read only made by someone who sitting at the table with the villian.