i might be taking this value thing too far

[tommygunne]

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Raise the flop to $20. You should have plenty of FE and if called you have your hearts. You can easily drop it to a raise here too as his range is surely narrowed to {overpairs, 2 pair, sets}.

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You can't fold to a raise against this range. We have 12 clean outs and 3 aces that might be good. With ~45% equity we'll have too good a price to fold.

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Sorry... Missed the gutshot. Makes a significant difference to this line.