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Old 10-08-2007, 09:32 AM
Ncoe Ncoe is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 53
Default Just a weird thought

Say there's a game where u get to pick one of four options, A,B,C or D where one of them gets you a point.

For each time u play you get exact probabilities for the separate options being the correct one.
Such as, A=50%, B=35%, C=10% and D=5%.
Obviously it's an easy choice to go with the option that has the highest probability for being correct.

But say you instead use some sord of randomizer to choose your pick, but with the corresponding probabilities.

So that in this example, you would on average pick option A 50% of the time, B 35% of the time etc.

Would this be equal resultwise to always picking the one with the highest probability?
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