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General Theory - NL25 KK vs Coordinated Board
Full Tilt Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter CO: $3.95 BTN: $4.50 SB: $12.40 BB: $22.75 UTG: $25.90 Hero (UTG+1): $21.15 UTG+2: $11.10 MP1: $10.80 MP2: $15.60 Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG+1) UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1</font>, 6 folds, BB calls $0.75 Flop: ($2.10) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $2</font>, BB calls $2 Turn: ($6.10) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) BB checks, Hero ... Alright, this is mainly a general strategy question and not specifically about this hand. I see three options: #1: I can check the turn. This keeps the pot small and gives me an opportunity to induce a small bluff from my opponent on the river. Obviously, I'm not interested in a big pot here, so this is in line with that thinking. However, we're letting our opponent draw (assuming he or she is) for absolutely nothing and giving them a chance to take the hand away with a big bet on the river. #2: We can lead out around half the pot offering our opponent 3:1 on the call. Assuming we can fold to any raise and also to any river bet after another nasty card lands, we're not offering them enough implied odds to make this call. Against a thinking opponent, we are setting ourselves up to be bluffed off the pot, but we are talking about standard NL25 players. #3: We man up and lead out a near PSB. We're certainly betting for value here as well as charging the maximum amount for a draw. Unfortunately, we'll be playing for a rather large river pot and if our opponent leads out (even on a blank river) I begin to weep. I've never felt comfortable in this situation (overpair on a coordinated board with a calling opponent). Note that the turn card doesn't really have to be this nasty, this is just the most recent hand that made me ponder this type of situation. What's the general consensus on the best turn play here? |
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