Oh Boy....

[elwoodblues]

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If you think the betting lines are flawed, like I said to Nate, use your divine insight to go make a buck or two.

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You make a pretty big assumption that I haven't put money up...

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I'm acting as if it means he has a 6% chance...What better indication is there?

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Things that take into account the electoral college, polls that place Paul against any of the top tier Republicans, common sense. Betting lines on political events are kind of funny...particular for third-party candidates (which is really what Paul is.) People who agree with the candidate overvalue him WAY more than supporters of a top tier candidate.