#11
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Re: ESPN really screwed up in their coverage on Tuesday
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PF raiser from the SB means little. When he called it meant something. NOW why scotty would think anything that beats him would fold the river, is a mystery. Thin value bet for A-high maybe? [/ QUOTE ] Are you serious, suzzer? I thought you were good. You're right, a raise from SB means little after btn limps and you are 5-6 handed. But a re-raise from BB usually means I have a good hand. Now a SB call means so do I. Flop action: K54 2 hearts SB checks. Scotty bets (which is fairly standard for any hand scott can have here). SB calls (his range here is 88+,KQ/AK, maybe KJ, and AQhh/AJhh (although i think sb might either c/r or bet/3bet AI with the draws) Turn K SB checks Scotty checks (fairly standard for a hand like JJ+ for pot control) River Jx SB bets 1 million. I think this is where SB really put himself in a tough spot in the hand. Since we all know what he had why would he bet this river? He thinks it's a thin value bet. Now scotty thinks, if I have JJ+, how would I play this since I have an aggressive image, I could get paid off with a thin value raise since my opponent won't 3 bet w/o a K this close to FT and hell, he might even call fearing I have AK/JJ. Also he knows his opponent is capable of making folds so he'll only call here with QQ+. So he makes it 3.5 million to look like he wants to get called. However, Tuan is a very good player and I guess had some read on scotty that he was tilting. But I bet you against anyone else or if he hadn't been tilting at the time, this play works 90-95% of the time. BTW, there is no way scotty's hand has showdown value. |
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