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Old 10-04-2007, 03:12 PM
greggg230 greggg230 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 755
Default Re: Worst hand of my life

Just to give the odds:

When drawing one with trips, I have a 6% chance to make a full house.

When drawing with a pair, he has a 1.02% chance to make a full house.

Of those full houses, 103 out of 165 have me beat - in other words, he has a .64% chance of drawing a better full house.

So, the composite probability of me drawing queens full and him drawing KKKAA or aces full is: .0064 * .06 = .000384 or .038%.

By comparison, in Hold 'Em, getting perfect runner runner (i.e. AA getting an ace on turn and river for quads) is .09%.

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