KQo no diamond makes straight on turn after 3 diamond flop.......

[mackthefork]

....with villian aggressively betting.

Villian was 23/15 and postflop aggression of 2.8 over a sample of 100 hands, never got into any big pots other than this one, so no real read.

I was thinking a couple of things;

1) Could be a set. EV on turn 77%
2) Could be a AdX two pair hand. EV on turn 70%
3) Could have KdQx or KxQd and be freerolling me. EV on turn 40%
4) Could have flopped a flush, but this is less likely imo, due to his aggressive line. EV on turn 0%

My feeling was I had to call off the $30 on the end even though I might be drawing dead, because I'm getting around 3-1 and sometimes I'll be a 2-1 favourite or so I reckon.

Anyway not sure on this one, what you think?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) internettexasholdem.com

Button ($49.25)
SB ($62.10)
BB ($64.65)
UTG ($58.15)
Hero ($71.85)
CO ($36.80)

Preflop: Hero is MP with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB calls $1.75, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($4.50) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $2.5</font>, Hero calls $2.50.

Turn: ($9.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $7.5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $30</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $57.6</font>, Hero calls $27.60.

River: ($124.70) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

Final Pot: $124.70

Regards Mack