200NL 150BB Value on this river?

[aislephive]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I shove. Villian almost always has JJ+.

Edit: FTR, I check QQ.

[/ QUOTE ]

Jeez, did anyone look at the hand? BvB deep, Villain has decent set value with any pair for starters, there are many other ways you could be beat.

There are exactly 5 pairs you beat, and 3 of them I seriously doubt get this far, and aren't paying you off anyway. So if you bet, 6 pairs beat you and are all calling, and you are ahead of 2 that may or may not call. And that's just the pairs.

Edit: 7 pairs that beat you, he's never folding AA if he plays it this way.

[/ QUOTE ]

If he is never folding AA then it's an easy shove with KK for many reasons of which should be obvious.