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http://www.pokerhand.org/?1522973
the ep limp/reraiser has AA like 90% of the time (99% after he isolated with his whole stack) so i have to call his first raise for 18.50$ and see a flop with my hand, right? (assuming he will stack off a lot on the right flops) the shorty calls my initial raise and then decides to raise allin after the limp/reraise. is it a bad idea to put him on AA/KK/high cards he decides to go with? is it a problem that the one with Aces is the bigstack and the one with the likely worst hand is the shortstack? general simulation of the situation: <font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> Omaha Hi Simulation 522,454 trials (Randomized) Hand Pot equity Wins Ties 5s7h8s9h 39.03% 203,764 249 AAB* 37.10% 182,793 22,100 AAB*,KKB*,BBBB 23.87% 113,688 22,072 B = any big card (A,K,Q,J)</pre><hr /> with the actual hands in play i calculated that i lose 4$ long term, but with all the dead money in its the right call. put together: is the allin call good/bad/breakeven against their range of AA,KK,highcards? is it likely that i assumed wrong ranges for their hands that can cripple my equity? also keeping in mind the money already in the pot. |
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