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Old 09-26-2007, 01:33 PM
advis0r advis0r is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Southern Germany
Posts: 99
Default PLO100 spewy preflop allin call?

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1522973

the ep limp/reraiser has AA like 90% of the time (99% after he isolated with his whole stack) so i have to call his first raise for 18.50$ and see a flop with my hand, right? (assuming he will stack off a lot on the right flops)

the shorty calls my initial raise and then decides to raise allin after the limp/reraise. is it a bad idea to put him on AA/KK/high cards he decides to go with?

is it a problem that the one with Aces is the bigstack and the one with the likely worst hand is the shortstack?

general simulation of the situation:
<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> Omaha Hi Simulation
522,454 trials (Randomized)

Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
5s7h8s9h 39.03% 203,764 249
AAB* 37.10% 182,793 22,100
AAB*,KKB*,BBBB 23.87% 113,688 22,072

B = any big card (A,K,Q,J)</pre><hr />

with the actual hands in play i calculated that i lose 4$ long term, but with all the dead money in its the right call.

put together: is the allin call good/bad/breakeven against their range of AA,KK,highcards? is it likely that i assumed wrong ranges for their hands that can cripple my equity? also keeping in mind the money already in the pot.
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