How many outs is a BDFD worth?
As most people know, the odds of hitting a backdoor flush draw after the flop is about the same as hitting one out. So should we value it as 1 out?
The difference comes in the fact that we may face another round of betting on the turn. Does the go up value go cuz we will often know on the turn when we whiffed and can get away or does the value go down relative to a standard out cuz we never have a made hand on the turn so can not extract as well? Do these balance out?
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