2/4 online, Hero AA in BB, small pot, turn pairs top pair

[Mitke]

SB is a relatively tight player but more neutral than aggressive.


Poker Room skin Limit: $2/$4 8 players

Pre-flop: (8 players) Hero in BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
5 folds, Button calls (1.5:1), SB calls (2.5:0.5), <font color="red">Hero raises</font>, Button calls (3:1), SB calls (4:1).

Flop: Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3SB, 3 players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets</font>, Button folds, SB calls (4:1).

Turn: Q [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2.5BB, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero ??


With what line we take this to showdown?

The flop is quite dry and the pot very small. No need to protect the hand then. Check to induce bluff and call river would cost us 1BB, betting and calling down a turn or river c/r 3BB (very likely being beat).

Some PokerStove calculations: If we put SB on the following range on turn (assuming villain needed a part of the flop to continue)

{JJ-99,A9s,KQs,K9s,Q8s+,J9s+,T9s,97s+,A9o,KQo,K9o,Q9o+ ,J9o+,T9o,98o}

it gives Hero ~67%-33% equity. Even if we remove KQ, TT-JJ A9 from the range that this villain probably would have raised with the equity remains the almost the same.