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Old 09-21-2007, 07:54 PM
muffins muffins is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 19
Default folding +ev hands HU

Hi all! Bear with me as I'm not an expert at this stuff, so it might be a silly question. Often in the endgame of an sng you will be playing push fold. What I've been wondering is to what extent (if at all) should you pass up on a +ev situation in order to wait for a better +ev situation later on. For example the following scenario.

Blinds 200/400 ante 25
SB 4500, hole cards Jd5d
BB 9000

STT analyzer shows that the small blind pushing here is +EV$22.85 against loose callers and +EV$11.66 against tight callers so a push is always best.

However does this take into account the likelihood that in the x hands you can afford to see, you have y chance of getting a hand with a higher EV to make a push more profitable taking into account the extra blinds you will lose while you wait for it?
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