Read this before starting a "Who Do I pick in Survivor" Thread

[kyro]

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Why wouldn't you look at the ML instead of the spread? I mean if we're going to deride his post... Why not atleast use the appropriate expert index?

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I was going to ask if there was any evidence to show that a 7-point home favorite won more often than a 7.5-point underdog favorite. I'm curious if there's any weight to the idea that a 7.5 point underdog at home will either get blown out or win a close one.