#10
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Re: whats a solid BB/100 ratio for Omaha?
[ QUOTE ]
I don't think the adjusted winnings in the PokerEV luck graph actually tends to your true winrate (I think Pete said something like this too recently). According to Phil the author, doing the calculations the more natural way (you get lucky or unlucky for the whole pot) is also subject to bias, but I don't see how. [/ QUOTE ] the result has to be better in general if we consider if we got lucky in all in situations or not. there is just no point in considering yourself as a like 5bb winner if you just got lucky for that amount in flips. the question is just how much it reduces our variance. statistically there are some problems with the whole winrate calculations because you need to make some assumptions: 1. table conditions are constant over the time 2. no autocorrelation between our sessions (this might not be true as a lot of people will go on tilt when losing) 3. there is no improvement/decline in our game over the time. i probably forgot some other assumptions. |
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