99 against UTG raise $4.40

[usha]

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i think your math is wrong or at least flawed, if you let him fold 30% you have to assume he calls with the top 70% of his range, then our equity should be lower.


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You are right, I didn't consider this. Thinking of it, would it be bad to assume that if villain calls only 70% of the time, he will still be calling with all of his range? So, instead of thinking villain folds 77-99,AJo and calls with the rest of his range, we say: "3\10 villains will fold here ,but 7\10 will call with full range". Sounds kinda weird to think that way, but I'ld like to see what you think about this kind of approach.


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He calls with 77, KJ, or KQ?


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I didn't put KJ,KQ in his range. And in 4/180 viallin's are calling with 77 because they put you on AK.

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Yes +EV, it's a push.


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Why? What's your range for him?