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Old 09-17-2007, 01:58 PM
httassadar httassadar is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2007
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Default all-in as one-off game or repeated game

Not sure if this topic suits here.

In Harrington's book, he emphasized on calculating odds when facing all kinds of betting, especially all-in.

I do think that when facing all-in from a larger stack or stacks that can harm you severely, mathematics shouldn't take a major role. This should be treated as a one-off game rather than repeated game so probability is meaningless. In my view (very conservative maybe), I would fold if my hand cannot win over 80% of the time no matter what pot odds shows.

For example, if you are not a millionare and someone offers you this game. You flip a fair coin and if it is head, you win 100 billion, but if it is a tail, you pay 10 million. How many of us would actually try this game?
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