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#24
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[ QUOTE ] I push, if the flop was QJx instead of QJT I woulda folded vs an uknown. [/ QUOTE ] You would what? Board: Qh Jh Td Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 76.124% 71.73% 04.40% 102255 6267.00 { TT+, AKs, AKo } Hand 1: 23.876% 19.48% 04.40% 27771 6267.00 { KK } Board: Qh Jh 2d Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 52.282% 50.35% 01.94% 80745 3105.00 { TT+, AKs, AKo } Hand 1: 47.718% 45.78% 01.94% 73425 3105.00 { KK } [/ QUOTE ] my first instinct was actually insta-fold but changed my mind. not sure but I think folding might be best. if proceeding calling and calling any turn might be the wtg. if pushing is a mistake its not a huge mistake though. regarding my QJx comment the equity vs this range of course is important, but for it to be 100% relevant the $240 bet should be all-in and he should play all the hands this way. for ex I dont think its that likely he bets close to pot with AK or TT (or something like 99-88 for that matter). he also is much more likely to play like this with AQ on the QJx than on the QJT. if he 3-bet with air he is also more likely to fire the QJx flop. another, less relevant aspect was that if you push on QJx the risk of drawing dead (or v close to it) is WAY higher than on the QJT. if you think I am off here you are very welcome to say that but I hope you come with some eloboratation not just "you are wrong". |
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