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6-Max 4-Way All-In Everyone Flops FH - Odds?
I was involved in what has to be a one in 10 million spot today - perhaps even much more rare. Alas, I'm really bad with probability math on stuff like this, so I have no idea what the true odds are. Here is the hand history:
PokertipsOzone: PokerStars Game #11930032917: Tournament #59838021, $20+$2 Hold'em No Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2007/09/07 - 20:37:02 (ET) Table '59838021 17' 6-max Seat #3 is the button Seat 1: pooey (5985 in chips) Seat 2: Ozone23 (8443 in chips) Seat 3: bradm8 (8010 in chips) Seat 4: Coupe15 (11395 in chips) Seat 5: ditsch24 (4365 in chips) Seat 6: bodinarn (9330 in chips) Coupe15: posts small blind 75 ditsch24: posts big blind 150 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Ozone23 [Qd Qh] bodinarn: raises 300 to 450 pooey: raises 750 to 1200 Ozone23: raises 7243 to 8443 and is all-in bradm8: folds Coupe15: raises 2952 to 11395 and is all-in ditsch24: calls 4215 and is all-in bodinarn: folds pooey: calls 4785 and is all-in bradm8 said, "wow" *** FLOP *** [4c 4s 4d] *** TURN *** [4c 4s 4d] [9s] bradm8 said, "hahahaha" *** RIVER *** [4c 4s 4d 9s] [Ad] *** SHOW DOWN *** Coupe15: shows [Ah Ac] (a full house, Aces full of Fours) Ozone23: shows [Qd Qh] (a full house, Fours full of Queens) bodinarn said, "loool" Coupe15 collected 4916 from side pot-2 pooey: shows [Kh Kc] (a full house, Fours full of Kings) Coupe15 collected 4860 from side pot-1 ditsch24: shows [Qs Qc] (a full house, Fours full of Queens) Coupe15 collected 17910 from main pot So the question is: What are the odds of four players getting all-in preflop at a 6-max table, all holding pocket pairs, and all flopping a full house? Now, I realize this involves an estimation at some point. The odds do not involve four players merely being dealt pocket pairs, but rather four players being dealt pocket pairs and all four of them going all-in before the flop. Surely that's an extremely rare occurance. The flop containing three-of-a-kind just made it even crazier. Anyway, I'd love to see some of the more mathematically gifted among you throw out some estimations of how often you're likely to see a hand like this. |
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