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Old 09-06-2007, 08:37 PM
keikiwai keikiwai is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Hi. My name is Rosa Kato <3
Posts: 19,541
Default mo\' outs, mo\' problems - 200nl

ok, feel free to berate me on every street

i called pf hoping to induce call behinds (not agg table, so not afraid of squeeze)

i raise the flop expecting folds usually, i get called, and on the turn i pick up 3 more outs.....

now if we assume villain is ahead... say w/ an overpair, then my equity just went down, since on the flop i have 9+9=18 outs till the river, but on the turn i only have 9+3=12 outs (ignoring boats, trips, and villain's 2 outer)

but the pot is bigger, so should i push w/ my 24% equity, or just check behind? i really don't need folds very often to break even...... but villain is getting 1:2 so he's not folding very often (ever?) after calling the flop

check behind or push the turn?

what if turn were 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]?

villain is taggy, no reads:

Poker Stars
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$1/$2 Blinds
6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $343.70
BB: $107.55
UTG: $204.85
keikiwai (MP): $217.85
CO: $202.00
BTN: $197.00

Preflop: keikiwai is dealt 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $8.00</font>, keikiwai calls $8.00, 2 folds, SB calls $7.00, BB calls $6.00

Flop: ($32) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="red">UTG bets $20.00</font>, <font color="red">keikiwai raises to $66.00</font>, 2 folds, UTG calls $46.00

Turn: ($164) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">keikiwai????</font>

Villain has $131 left
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