3-1 pot odds but are my odds of winning 4-1?

[theordinaryboy]

stars $50 $25000 guaranteed

hero 12k
sb 8k
utg 9k

hero is bb with Qs Qc blinds 200/400/25

utg calls 400, 6 folds, sb raises to 1200, hero raises 4000, utg goes all-in for 9000, sb folds, hero?

5000 to call into 14425.

I suppose the question is how often is utg doing this with JJ or AK???