#12
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 10/20 - 25s - Baby flush, blind battle. River raise?
[ QUOTE ]
Yeah, his range includes about 25 different flushes. All of them make sense til the river. A lot of them bet the river either hoping to 3-bet or not wanting to get 3-bet. I don't see him showing up with enough sets/str8s to beat that range, let alone be the significant fav you need to be to raise. [/ QUOTE ] Hmm... Thanks costa, you helped me come to a realization. In tighter range scenarios two card straights dominate other likelyhoods (16 combinations) so I often percieve them as the most likely mathematically speaking. In tighter range scenarios theres often only like 1-7 possible flush combinations. However, because its a blind battle, his PF range is HUGE so the flush combinations actually outweigh a lot of straight combinations. 25-27 flush combinations were much more than I realized once I counted it all out.. When comparing likelyhoods in blind battles and a 3-flush is out... I have to give a lot more credit to a flush possibility if I cant narrow down there range from action on a previous street (IE just calling a continuation bet). |
|
|