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This is very read dependent, sorry for long description. I play w/villain on a regular basis. He is a solid TAG, who lately became very aggressive raising w/ any 2 cards from late position if folded to him and keeps firing if misses. I play back at him a lot. He believs (somewhat correcly) that I take too many liberties preflop b/c I think I am able to outplay the rest of the table postflop. He also believes (incorrectly) that I am currently steaming b/c I just lost a HUGE pot in hi-lo Stud with rolled up trips (the best possible starting hand by far -- like flopping set of Aces).
Folded to villain in CO who raises. An aggro moron button thinks and calls. I 3 bet in SB w/K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. BB folds, villain caps, button folds, I call. flop A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] I check call. Turn 2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. I check, CO thinks a bit and bets. He doesn't Hollywood, I am sure he doesn't have a flush. He doesn't call raises lightly and releases a lot on a turn if thinks he's beat. However, he knows that I know that. He also saw me c/r semibluff a couple of times. If he has a naked Ace, what's more likely to work -- c/r turn or blank river bet or both? What's the best play EV-wise if he doesn't have an Ace? What should I do on the turn/river? |
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