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check my math: KK preflop
Hi
are there any mistakes in my calculation? (ATC = any two cards but aces. I know that KK doesn't have 80% equity vs any two.) Here is the problem: -------------------- eff stacks 100BB Hero KK Preflop: Hero: Raise to 5BB Villian: Reraise to 15BB Hero: 3bet 50BB Villian: 4bet All in Lets assume: KK equity vs AA is 20% KK equity vs ATC is 80% EV vs AA: 0.2 * 1.5 s - 0.8 * 0.5 s = -0.1 s EV vs ATC: 0.8 * 1.5 s - 0.2 * 0.5 s = +1.1 s (s = stacks) If we call 12 times and villian has ATC once we are 0EV. This means if 1/12 of his range is ATC we have to call. 1/12 = 0.083 or 8.3% 100 % - 8.3 % = 91.7% If we are 90% sure that villian has AA a call is +EV. |
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