($27) Shortstacked on bubble, big stack in BB, trash hand

[taipan168]

Opp is LAGG, stats something like 37/33. I've shoved the last three times it's been folded to me in the SB. Can I ever not shove this one and open shove the next hand folded to me or do I not have a choice but to shove here (and hope to have two live cards)?

SNGPT says this is a +EV shove if opp calls tighter than about 45%, but I wonder whether this is one of those spots where ICM overvalues a short stack on the bubble (if I fold).

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG (t3675)
Button (t1980)
Hero (t800)
BB (t7045)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 8, 2.
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero ????