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Old 08-24-2007, 07:05 PM
QTip QTip is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: OH
Posts: 6,131
Default Re: 400NL AA - Do you value bet this river?

[ QUOTE ]
PokerStars Pot-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (9 handed) pokerhand.org hand converter

Button ($242.50)
SB ($300.35)
BB ($136.80)
UTG ($486.40)
UTG+1 ($92)
MP1 ($418.10)
MP2 ($309.25)
Hero ($435.90)
CO ($397.40)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $12</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $42</font>, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, UTG calls $30.

Flop: ($90) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $72</font>, UTG calls $72.

Turn: ($234) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $160</font>, UTG calls $160.

River: ($554) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero...

Villain is a solid 19/8/2.5 regular whose game I respect.

By the time he's at the river, I put him on AsK, KK, and maybe QQ. I discount QQ a lot because I think he dumps it on the turn. But maybe if he had the Qs he'd still stick around, who knows.

Basically, the only hand I see paying me off is KK, and he probably even folds that to a river shove.

Who checks behind on riv and who shoves?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, the check here seems super standard.

However, I'm interested in the turn. I assume you are planning a bet/fold here. I'm not sure I like the bet on the turn.
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