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Help with river value bet size.
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.15/$0.30 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)
Hero (SB): $59.10 BB: $25.65 UTG: $51.50 MP: $55.60 CO: $80.80 BTN: $29.30 Reads: <font color="blue">Villain is 34/12/1.2 Plays TPGK hands a little over aggressive, and plays TPWK very passively. He is also a calling station with second pair type hands. Never saw any evidence of him floating flops. UTG limps very often, not concerned with him preflop. </font> Preflop: Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players) UTG calls $0.30, 3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.50</font>, BB calls $1.20, UTG calls $1.20 Flop: ($4.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $3.30</font>, BB calls $3.30, UTG folds Turn: ($11.10) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $7.00</font>, BB calls $7.00 River: ($25.10) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="green">Hero bets ????</font> <font color="red">Villain has $13.85 left</font> Is this just an easy put him all in, or is that over doing it. IF I PUSH: I figure he would fold missed flush, possibly fold a second pair, 75% sure would call with Qx up to T, 95% sure he calls with Qpaint or better. He calls all of the above for half his remaining, except flush draw. I'm sure some math problem solves this but I don't know it, and prob couldn't calculate fast enough at the table. |
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