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#32
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Hold'em No Limit - Level VI (100/200) Table '58338527 1' 9-max Seat #3 is the button Seat 1: malicous222 (3365 in chips) Seat 2: APerfectGent (985 in chips) Seat 3: bigjoe2003 (5220 in chips) Seat 4: zangbezan24 (190 in chips) Seat 9: Dsavo (3740 in chips) zangbezan24: posts small blind 100 Dsavo: posts big blind 200 The thing that sucks about trying to analyze future hands is that with the blinds so low compared to three of the stacks at the table, push/fold isn't really going to happen and there's just too many potential actions left to consider. As for future action being worth a somewhat-arbitrary $500, I think that number is a little bit high. That's 2.64% of the prize pool. If we assume he's winning the hand about 40% of the time, that means he needs to make up 6.6% in the future hands to get to $500. This has to happen before the stacks smooth out again, or get to some configuration that isn't really unique to him winning this particular hand. If I had to make my own arbitrary guess, I'd put the "future hands" edge at maybe $200: 1% total so 2.6% when he wins this hand. |
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