Is this right?

[Johnny#5]

Fiddling with twodimes

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=2989462
pokenum -l27 7h 5s 3s 2d jc - 5c 8d 4s 3c - 5h 4c 2h 6d
5-card Draw 2-7 Lowball: 1482 enumerated outcomes
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
5s 3s Jc 2d 7h 489 33.00 993 67.00 0 0.00 0.330
4s 5c 3c 8d 481 32.46 1001 67.54 0 0.00 0.325
4c 6d 5h 2h 512 34.55 970 65.45 0 0.00 0.345

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=2989456
pokenum -l27 7h 5s 3s 2d tc - 5c 8d 4s 3c - 5h 4c 2h 6d
5-card Draw 2-7 Lowball: 1482 enumerated outcomes
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
5s 3s Tc 2d 7h 681 45.95 801 54.05 0 0.00 0.460
4s 5c 3c 8d 381 25.71 1101 74.29 0 0.00 0.257
4c 6d 5h 2h 420 28.34 1062 71.66 0 0.00 0.283

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=2989482
pokenum -l27 7h 5s 3s 2d - 5c 8d 4s 3c - 5h 4c 2h 6d
5-card Draw 2-7 Lowball: 59280 enumerated outcomes
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
5s 3s 2d 7h 21872 36.90 37408 63.10 0 0.00 0.369
4s 5c 3c 8d 18354 30.96 40926 69.04 0 0.00 0.310
4c 6d 5h 2h 19054 32.14 40226 67.86 0 0.00 0.321

Keeping a J against 2 one card draws results in a 3 way coinflip? I was under the impression that keeping the J was a major error but seems to be only a small one? I originally ran this simulation with the 10 to see what equity the guy had when he chose to pat behind with his 10. I thought he probably made an error not drawing to the wheel and figured patting a rough 10 would be correct. Obviously I was wrong. 46% equity? Is it really that high?