The Uncertainty Principle

[private joker]

Live 30/60. Villain in this hand is Heisenb3rg, TAG 2+2er with a lot of online 6-max LHE experience, a style that still informs a lot of his live full ring play -- for better and for worse.

SB in this hand is a tight-passive lady; BB is a pro regular who plays tight, aggressive, and straight-forward.

Heisenb3rg posts in the CO. Folded to me in late middle position with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and I make it twice as many bets as the starting limit. He calls, blinds call too.

Flop K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. Checked to me, I bet, Heisenb3rg calls, both blinds fold.

Turn 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. What's my action? How often am I walking into a raise here? If you're bet/calling or check/calling, what do you do on the river? And if you're bet/folding, why aren't you check/folding?

Other things to consider/discuss: what hands should a good player call this flop with considering there are 2 players to act behind us? Discounting hands where you're planning some multi-street float/bluff, what range should you be holding here in his shoes, and how much should you mix up calling or raising this flop? Also, given your range, what hands should you be 3-betting PF knowing my opening range is going to be a bit light given the dead money (CO's post, SB + BB in a 2/3 structure) in the pot? And what hands do you just call?

I'm asking all these questions because maybe the hand itself isn't very interesting, but the situation is so common that I'd like to see a lot of debate over various lines, ranges, and actions for all three streets so far. Enjoy.