16- JJ UTG

[MatteyA28]

Here is a situation I have been pondering lately. 10/20 level , no reads and 1500 effective stacks for all 9 players. Hero is UTG with JJ. Hero limps. MP1 limps, MP2 limps, MP3 limps, Button raises to 180. BB calls. Pot is now 450.

Now lets look at our options.

Call- Bad. Most of the time there will be at least 1 overcard on the flop and we will have 2nd pair in a multiway pot. Even if we flop an overpair, we may still lose to a better overpair or get outdrawn. We are calling off >10% of our stack so flopping a set is not going to be profitable unless we know both the BB and button will definitely pay us off.

Shove- This used to be my default play. We are only an underdog to 3 hands, and there is a lot of dead money in the pot. However when we are called, it is almost certainly a coin flip or we are dominated. I dont see TT or AJ calling this too often, though it does happen.

Fold- This is what I've used lately. It seems like I'm leaving a lot on the table though when I am most likely the favorite. The pros are that we lose little money and are still in the tournament.

Thoughts??