A live hand.

[James.]

bob t,

hope things are well. nice to see you post a hand. been a while.

pf in the HJ; what's your reason for not popping? i assume you have a pretty good explanation as it seems to be a standard raise. maybe if it's the tightest of all tight passives or the limp reraisingest of all limp reraisers i could see it. even then it would usually be more profitable to raise if you can steal his pot when he has an UI big cards or to glean info as to what range you are up against if he commonly LRR's.

on the flop, if it was one small bet smaller i would prefer a call. once it hits 7sb i prefer a raise. if we are going to continue, for the obvious reasons i think it's the best route at that kind of table.

turn is standard.

on the river i'm 3betting against most players, passive or aggressive. i'm 3betting against aggros because they are raising a wider range. i assume this guy is more on the passive side based on your table read. for that reason i'm even more inclined to 3bet.

alot of aggressive players raise a wider range, but won't necessarily call the 3bet with a wider range. a passive player will raise a tighter range but call a 3bet with a wider range. he will also rarely 4bet a hand that is less than the stones, as alot of passives(esp. tight passives) have MUBS. his most likely hand by FAR is trips. sure a full house like 99922 is possible, but i still think most two pair hands will give more action on the flop with the straight draw out. if they aren't giving more action on the flop with two pair, i highly doubt they are 4betting an underfull(especially given your preflop play). so i think we are 4bet rarely.

personally i would 3bet and feel pretty good about it. i think 4 big bets on the turn and river seem about right given the strength of our hand and the action up to this point. as i said, trips seem to be by far the most likely hand and you need to extract value from this holding since it's never folding.

edit to say: damn, i just realized it's the BB who bet/called the flop and then checkraised the river. if he wouldn't bet the flop with less than top pair it changes my analysis.