#11
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Re: Folding river when pot is big and i have to pay only 1BB
Super Grunch
Wow, these are the types of hands I need to comment on because they seem a little difficult to me. PF: A clear raise the first time around. The second time around, I'm not sure that I have the discipline to fold this hand unless I have about 200 hands on each player and they only 3-bet/cap the top 4 SH's. You're also getting 6.5:1 and can be relatively sure that you'll be getting callers behind you + it can't be raised any more. I'd say that if you call here (which I would probably do - <font color="red"> is this wrong, anyone? </font> ), you're hoping to hit two pair or QQ rag on the flop. Flop: Odd that nobody bet in EP. Quite honestly, I'd probably check/call one bet back and re-evaluate on the turn. With middle pair and this much aggression PF, there is a chance someone will raise behind you or check/raise, making this a bet/fold IMO. Turn: Standard.. You certainly don't wanna be giving another free card.. At this point it is looking as though villains have TT or JJ. River: Pot is too large to give up for just one bet. You'd have to be correct to call only 8% of the time for this to be profitable <font color="red"> can someone concur with this? 13.5:1 odds --> 1/13.5=.074 </font>, so make the crying call and then go take a shower when he flips over JJ. Nick |
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