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  #11  
Old 08-05-2007, 08:37 PM
GtrHtr GtrHtr is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 3,729
Default Re: OT: [censored] thread, August, READ RULES IN TOP POST

[ QUOTE ]
Is it worthwhile to raise that AdKc on Q92d?

I think not, 'cause you're opponent has already just check raised you and is unlikely to be folding there. You are also unlikely to currently have the best hand.

Chance opponent folds to 3bet: Small.

Chance you have best hand: Small.

Result: Don't raise.



Is it worthwhile to call?

When it gets to you the second time, there is $275 in the pot.

It costs you $80 to call.

You are getting odds of 275:80, or 3.4375:1

Your chance of making the nuts on the turn is about 19%, or about 4:1. Thus, to be profitable, you need to make another $45 when you make the flush.

If, when you make the nuts, you think you can on average extract another $45 (which is not likely to be difficult when your opponent will be facing a pot size of $400 even if he checks to you on the turn and a bet of at least $45)

Thus, you should call.


edit: removed an obviously incorrect decimal point

[/ QUOTE ]

there is no reason to shove on the flop cause ur getting paid off if you hit most of the time here.

edit: an ez way to look at this is that you have 30% equity on the flop (28.6% to be exact). You're getting 3.5:1 to call and ur implied odds are pretty huge considering he is unlikely to fold his JTs or KTs or T9s if another d falls.
 


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