Hand from Schneid's Blog

[MonsterJ]

PapaWarbucks: posts small blind $100
tongni1: posts big blind $200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to PapaWarbucks [7h 7s]
Quackers: raises $200 to $400
Shankar825: calls $400
Hoss_TBF: raises $200 to $600
Baffa: folds
PapaWarbucks: calls $500
tongni1: calls $400
Quackers: raises $200 to $800
Betting is capped
Shankar825: calls $400
Hoss_TBF: calls $200
PapaWarbucks: calls $200
tongni1: calls $200
*** FLOP *** [Ad 8s As]
PapaWarbucks: checks
tongni1: checks
Quackers: checks
Shankar825: checks
Hoss_TBF: bets $200
PapaWarbucks: calls $200
tongni1: folds
Quackers: folds
Shankar825: folds
*** TURN *** [Ad 8s As] [Tc]
PapaWarbucks: checks
Hoss_TBF: checks
*** RIVER *** [Ad 8s As Tc] [8h]
PapaWarbucks: checks
Hoss_TBF: bets $400
PapaWarbucks: calls $400
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Hoss_TBF: shows [9d 9h] (two pair, Aces and Nines)
PapaWarbucks: mucks hand
Hoss_TBF collected $5195 from pot


I don't know whether to call Hoss a genius or an idiot for making this river bet. My thinking on the flop is he will bet the flop with any pocket pair, or flush draw. After he checked the turn I decided it was quite possible my 77 is a higher pocket pair than he has. So, when the river counterfeits it, and he bets, it just seems entirely possible that he can be betting 66. From his perspective with his 99, I don't see how he can think I have KQo (so it'd pretty much have to be KsQs), and it's still possible I can have a JJ or whatever if I got cute and didn't cap. In any case, I think he must've bet it thinking if I had a K hi flush draw I'd call. And I called because I thought 66 could be in his range.


Am I misreading this or does his line on the river make absolutely no sense as does his explanation?