#16
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Re: drawing hand
[ QUOTE ]
Here is my further analysis. Flop (This assume you don't c/r): It's 8SBs to you on the flop. I give you only 3.5 discounted outs (2 twos, 1.5 aces due to diamonds and reverse dom). So you have just over 7% chance to make your hand, yet you're putting in 12% of the pot. Fold Turn: One clean two left, 1.5 for the aces, and 3 clean 3 for 5.5 outs. You make your hand about 12% of the time. It's 8 sbs to you so I guess this is barely a call. I suck at making decisions before doing the calcs. [/ QUOTE ] Mr Befolder...on the flop i count up the outs a little different... 1 for the overcard A, 1 for the backdoor flush draw in spades, 3 for the gut shot draw (just 3 with two diamonds on the flop and we are drawing to the low end)...i usually give no weight to undercard as i am likely behind even if i pair it...with 5 outs i would call if i thought the pot would be 10 times the amount i will put in on the round... did i miscount or overvalue something here? |
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