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Old 07-16-2007, 12:48 AM
Insane_Steve Insane_Steve is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 468
Default $10.75 NLTRN - TPNK vs. bad villian

2nd match in a 4 player HU SNG. Villian is a terrible very predictable calling station with the following betting patterns:

-Will call any bet on any "safe" (not monotone) flop with any pair or ace high.
-Will bet pot roughly 90% of the time he bets, with min-bets being the other 10%. The one time I went to showdown when he min-bet, he tabled a busted straight draw.
-If he bets the flop, he will almost always pot the turn, and again pot the river if you call.
-Has not once in the match raised my bets post-flop. He raises about 20% of hands pre-flop (about half min-raise, half 3x) and has never 3-bet. If he raises pre-flop, he almost always pots the flop.

My plan is obviously to pick up one big hand in a raised pot and let him bet or call himself into oblivion, but I've missed pretty much every flop so far in this match.

Also, the match started double-stacked (3,000 chips per player, 10/20 blinds).

Blinds are 20/40

BB: Hero (3,040)
SB: Villian (2,960)
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]]
Villian raises to 80
Hero calls 40
*** FLOP *** [8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]] (pot 160)
Hero checks
Villian bets 40
Hero calls 40
*** TURN *** [8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]] [K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]] (pot 240)
Hero checks
Villian bets 240
Hero calls 240
*** RIVER *** [8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]][7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]] (pot 720)
Hero checks
Villian bets 720
Hero ???

Line check? Ok, so the flop call might be total spew, but against this type of opponent is this hand good enough on the turn/river to take a stand?
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