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Hi all, I don't think this is anywhere near complicated enough for the probability forum, so I'll post here to confirm what I'm thinking.
When at the table, I use the approximation of outs x 2 for the turn to bring what I need, and x4 for the turn or river. As such on a flush draw (2 on flop, 2 in hole) I have 9 outs, so 18% chance of making the flush on the turn, or 36% of making it by the river. What pot odds do I need to call however? Do I base it around making the flush by the river, or do I base it around making the flush on the next card (smaller %). I beliveve it would be based on the next card, as the turn would be other unknowns such as another bet, can someone correct me if I'm wrong? Cheers. |
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