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Old 07-12-2007, 02:23 AM
Ribbo Ribbo is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Warrington, United Kingdom
Posts: 2,290
Default Re: playing the NFD v shorties in a MW pot

It's a $22 pot, you're going to raise as a bluff and if you get called, end up risking $100 to win $220 with a 30% chance of hitting your flush. Your flush draw is worth $70, so you're betting $30 of lost equity that your opponent will fold to your raise and you will win $22 because of it.
Put simply, all your opponents have to fold over 60% of the time to your raise for this to be a profitable play.
I don't see it personally.

You lose $30 everytime you are called and win $22 every time you are not called.
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